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What is the probability that this third shot our James Bond takes will be worse than the second shot? James Bond is caught up in a mysterious scenario

where the evil villain has him blindfolded. He somehow breaks through the handcuffs but is unable to get the blindfold off. Upon searching, he comes across a bow and 3 arrows. He can hear the villain speak, and thus tries to take a shot at him. He launches the first arrow, it misses the villain. He then launches the second arrow and it misses by a greater margin.


2/3. How? Well, since he has 3 arrows, each shot has 1/3rd chance of being the best shot. So the chance that the third shot is not the best shot is 1 minus 1/3rd, thus 2/3rd.
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